THE SIGNAL

The magnets that could slow down the humanoid boom

The magnets inside a humanoid’s joints matter more than anything you see when it walks across a stage. They help the small motors in its arms and legs produce enough force to move the robot. As the Foundation for American Innovation (FAI) points out, robot makers do not tell us what grade of magnets they use.

FAI puts the magnet in a humanoid at 2 to 4.5 kilograms, against about 1.4 kilograms in an electric car. The lower figure fits Western robots, which use heavier gearing; the higher fits Chinese designs, which use less. Rare earths are metals used to make these powerful magnets. A 2023 Aspen Institute report estimates that China makes 92 percent of the world’s rare-earth magnets. By weight, a humanoid carries about one and a half to three times as much magnet as a car. FAI adds that car magnets need 2.8 times as much of the scarce heavy rare earths per kilogram, so one car uses about as much of them as 1.2 humanoids.

Two of those metals, dysprosium and terbium, help magnets keep working when they get hot, and almost none is produced outside China’s sphere of influence. Since April 2025, anyone exporting seven of the heavier rare earths, or magnets containing them, has needed Chinese government permission. That licence stays in force. A wider set of rules from October 2025 is on hold, and on Monday Beijing extended the pause to 10 January 2027. One paused rule would extend the controls to certain products made outside China that contain Chinese rare earths. Depending on how it is applied, that could include a German or American motor with Chinese magnets inside. I doubt Beijing is trying to stop robot makers: electric cars already use as much of these heavy rare earths as 26 million humanoids would in a year, FAI estimates. Even so, I’d ask who makes the magnet inside a humanoid’s joints, because on Aspen’s estimate it is mostly one country.

Washington has also acted on robot imports, and it hasn’t said which parts it means. On 28 October, the White House issued a proclamation under Section 232, a US law that lets the president restrict imports on national-security grounds. The text lists humanoid and four-legged robots among advanced robots that provide combat support to the US military. There are no new import taxes yet. Law firm Troutman Pepper Locke says it gives no list of product codes showing which parts are covered, and advises importers to assume parts may be included. So whether a joint motor, or the magnet inside it, counts is an open question.

Musk raised the magnet problem on Tesla's April 2025 earnings call. He said China's export restrictions had affected Optimus because its arm actuators use permanent magnets. In October 2026, he put a number on the delay: two to three months. The Chinese export rule Musk blamed for that delay is still in force.

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BELOW THE FOLD

How many of Schaeffler’s 3,460 lost jobs will new businesses bring back?

Schaeffler is a German company that makes components for cars and factory machinery. It is cutting 3,460 jobs across Europe while building a business supplying components for humanoid robots.

On CNBC, CEO Klaus Rosenfeld said the company was rearranging capacity to “free up ... capacity for the new things that are coming,” and named robotics and defence as those new areas. Schaeffler blames the cuts on weak demand for combustion-engine parts and high labour costs. Its humanoid business now carries a headline figure of €400M, which the CEO called “orders on hand” in Schaeffler’s 13 October results release, meaning orders booked for later delivery. The release said new customers in Greater China contributed to the figure. It did not name them, or give a unit count or delivery period.

In the August earnings call, Rosenfeld said the order book aka "orders on hand" counts only signed orders for series production, meaning volume manufacturing, with customer estimates cut substantially to stay conservative. Those customers were due to start production within months. Schaeffler has not said how many robots’ worth of parts the orders cover, or whether the customers added since are included in that schedule. Rosenfeld also said the business needs time to scale before it shows in Schaeffler’s accounts.

The humanoid robot footprint at Schaeffler is spread across a few settings, not a single fleet. At the newly opened Taicang factory in China, Schaeffler says humanoids assemble robot components; its release does not name their maker. At Cheraw, South Carolina, Agility Robotics’ Digit moves baskets of bearing parts from a stamping press to a conveyor feeding a washer. In Germany, Hexagon’s AEON is still in Schaeffler’s Humanoid Gym, where it is being trained and tested before wider factory use. A separate deal announced by UK-based Humanoid schedules German-site deployments to begin in December. Hexagon and Schaeffler’s larger AEON rollout remains a 2032 target.

Schaeffler says most cuts should be implemented by 2028 and part of the reduction is to be offset by new positions in growth areas like humanoid robotics and defence. It has not said how many jobs these new businesses will create, where those jobs will be located, or whether they will appear near the sites losing positions. The cuts have a number and a deadline. The promised new jobs have neither.

Editor’s Take

This week, the Signal looks at the magnets inside a humanoid’s joints, which makers do not specify, and at what China’s two-month extension does and doesn’t change.

Below the Fold follows Schaeffler, which is cutting 3,460 jobs while reporting €400M of humanoid orders, and has given no number for the jobs it says new businesses will add.

Cars come up in both stories only in passing: electric cars already use as much of the scarce heavy rare earths as 26 million humanoids would, and Schaeffler, a car-parts maker, blames its cuts on weak demand for combustion-engine parts.

❝

The future is already here; it’s just not very evenly distributed.

William Gibson, NPR Talk of the Nation, 30 November 1999

Sources

  1. The Robot Boom Has a Magnet Problem, Foundation for American Innovation (Sep 8, 2026)

  2. China Controls 92% of the Rare Earth Magnet Supply, Fortune (Apr 23, 2025)

  3. Announcement No. 18 of 2025, China Ministry of Commerce (Apr 4, 2025)

  4. Announcement No. 61 of 2025, China Ministry of Commerce (Oct 9, 2025)

  5. Announcement No. 70 of 2025, China Ministry of Commerce (Nov 7, 2025)

  6. Announcement No. 58 of 2026, China Ministry of Commerce (Nov 9, 2026)

  7. Adjusting Imports of Robotics, Industrial Machinery, and Their Parts and Components into the United States, White House (Oct 28, 2026)

  8. Adjusting Imports of Robotics, Industrial Machinery, and Their Parts and Components into the United States, Federal Register (Nov 2, 2026)

  9. Robots at the Border: Washington Puts Robotics and Industrial Machinery on the Section 232 Clock, Troutman Pepper Locke (Nov 6, 2026)

  10. White House Makes Section 232 Determination Regarding Foreign-Made Robots, The Robot Report (Nov 2026)

  11. Musk Says Tesla's Optimus Humanoid Robots Affected by China's Export Curbs on Rare Earths, Reuters (Apr 23, 2025)

  12. Tesla Q1 2025 Earnings Call, Tesla (Apr 22, 2025)

  13. Musk on Rare Earth Export Restrictions: Optimus Was Affected, Adamas Intelligence (Apr 2025)

  14. X Takeover Interview with Elon Musk, Tesla Owners Silicon Valley (Oct 2026)

  15. Schaeffler announces further performance improvement program, Schaeffler (Nov 3, 2026)

  16. Schaeffler Q3 earnings call 2026

  17. Schaeffler Q2 earnings call 2026

  18. Schaeffler Q1 earnings call 2026

  19. Schaeffler opens Taicang factory integrating humanoid robot production and training, Gasgoo (Oct 20, 2026)

  20. Schaeffler releases preliminary numbers for first nine months of 2026, Schaeffler (Oct 13, 2026)

  21. 'Agility Contractor': The Newest Manufacturing Job is a Robot Babysitter, Yahoo Finance (Mar 23, 2026)

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